Defending Causal Decision Theory

Late last year I wrote up a small note replying to Andy Egan’s paper Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory (PDF). I was hoping to revise it a little and then post it, but I haven’t had the chance to do the revisions (and fill in the references), but it looks interesting enough that it might be worth having up here. Without further ado…

Defending Causal Decision Theory

The core argument is that if Andy is right about what modifications are needed to causal decision theory, then we end up saying bizarre things about cases where there are three choices available. I think it’s less costly to simply keep causal decision theory than to say those bizarre things, though this is a bit of a judgment call.

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