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November 29th, 2009

Idealisations in Economics

In philosophy of economics through roughly the 1990s, there was a somewhat annoying dialectic that went as follows.

First, a philosopher would come along saying that economists typically make all sorts of implausible assumptions. These include:

Obviously these are implausible, and the philosopher will say loudly how absurd it is that we take seriously a discipline built on crazy foundations.

Second, an economist will come along and say that this is all a misreading of the discipline and a sign of ignorance of the state of contemporary economics. It’s true, they’ll say, that every one of those assumptions is made in intro textbooks. But they aren’t made by real working economists. Look, here’s a paper where perfect rationality is dropped, and here’s one where perfect information is dropped, and here’s one where we assume limited markets, and here’s one where we assume zero transaction costs. (If you want real-life examples of my storybook version of history, see some of the responses to Daniel Hausman’s “The Inexact and Separate Science of Economics”.)

And at this point it might look like the economist has won. At least I haven’t see a lot of pushback from philosophers from philosophers. But I think the response rests on a scope ambiguity. It’s true that cutting edge work doesn’t make all of the assumptions listed above. Indeed, it’s true that every one of those assumptions has been questioned in some cutting edge work or other. But what’s not true is that there is a large body of mainstream top level work that questions all of the assumptions simultaneously. The steady state of the discipline seemed to be that we’d start with the absurd idealisation, and then relax assumptions very slowly, seeing how far we could go before the mathematics became intractable. (Or, worse still, we had to pay attention to institutional/sociological matters.)

None of this will be news to people who have been following Crooked Timber, because it’s been a major theme of John Quiggin’s posts on the failures of modern economics. (See, for instance, here, here and here.) But it was sort of news to me. If I’d realised this point about scope ambiguities 10 years ago, I might have written several papers in philosophy of economics in the meantime. It’s obviously a bit late for that. But I do strongly recommend these Quiggin posts, which are both relevant to live policy debates, and connect to several philosophically fascinating questions about scientific methodology and the nature of rationality.

Posted by Brian Weatherson in Uncategorized

2 Comments »

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2 Responses to “Idealisations in Economics”

  1. Eric SChliesser says:

    Brian,
    First, it is never too late (especially for somebody with your talents) to return (!) to philosophy of economics.
    Second, I think you (and John) are right about the scope ambiguity, but I don’t think focus on it captures the sociological and policy reality of economics. I think the economists’ response is on to something, but also misses an important methodological point.
    Let me explain: the mass majority of working economics is hyper-empirical; it uses a small family of models and techniques that are adapted to some local/applied question (this often involves the relaxation of assumptions that you mention) in combination with statistical and econometric software that is used to handle the data. A small class of economists is extremely formal—these explore hyper-idealized models (few of which give up on all the assumptions you mention, although increasingly more and more do). Now the problem is this: there is almost no feedback mechanism between the empirical work done on the applied side and the hyper-formal models (even if some of these are used in all kinds of simulations—which often are thought of as empirical within economics). This is the core evidential problem of the science.
    This is related to the problems of economics as a policy science, but I should really write something separate about that some other time.

  2. keddaw says:

    Most sciences have an idealised version that is used, especially when dealing with students. Physics students are told to ignore friction when calculating how far an object will travel. Later they are told to ignore relativistic effects when dealing with Newtonian mechanics. Chemists very rarely include quantum effects when working out their equations.

    To pick out economics and complain that the equations make too many idealised assumptions is to ignore the original intellectual basis of the science.

    Another problem with this attitude is that it applies almost explusively to macroeconomics which is virtually the most difficult field, outside of black hole mechanics, to do a practical experiment in. Microeconomics is not only relatively easy to do experimentation in, quite often companies are more than happy to indulge in the economists experiments leading to enough data to accurately test the theories and attempt to falsify them without having to jump through econometric hoops.

    Would you agree that most complaints here were based on macroeconomics rather than microeconomics? And if those arguments hold up should economics be split into two disciplines, theoretical and practical based on the scale?

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