Quick Links

I’m mostly just worrying about (a) the Grand Final and (b) the pile of editing on my desk. But here are some other quick points.

* The Sage School has “a new website”:http://www.arts.cornell.edu/phil/. It would have had one earlier if I didn’t insist on trying (and failing) to build one in house. But the site looks pretty good I think.
* As part of that site, there is “an announcement of an open position”:http://www.arts.cornell.edu/phil/announcements/searches/. It’s basically to replace me, but since I was there as a generalist, it really is a quite open search. (Or at least so I gather, I don’t have any special leads on this since I’m not playing that central a role in the search.)
* I’m getting rather excited about all the “Australian bars and restaurants in NYC”:http://www.theage.com.au/news/in-depth/big-apple-embraces-little-australia/2007/09/07/1188783490403.html?page=fullpage#contentSwap1. And I’m glad _The Age_ is using the term “Little Australia”; I thought only I was crazy enough to use it. It might be fun to watch footy games at some of those places.
* I’ve been using “Jottit”:http://www.jottit.com quite a bit, and it seems like a really useful site.
* The UConn grad student blog is no more, but some of the former contributors have set up their own blogs, including “Alexis McLeod”:http://www.philosophy.uconn.edu/grad/mcleod.htm, “Colin Caret”:http://www.philosophy.uconn.edu/grad/caret.htm and “Aaron Cotnoir”:http://cotnoir.wordpress.com/, who has “an interesting post up on paraconsistent modal logic”:http://cotnoir.wordpress.com/2007/09/19/contingency-in-lp/.

Infinite Probabilities

There is an odd paper by Jeanne Peijnenburg in the latest Mind. (It’s subscription only, so no link.) There’s a formal point and a philosophical point.

The formal point concerns the following question. Are there values of a1, b1, a2, b2, … such that given that P(Ei|Ei+1) = ai, and P(Ei|~Ei+1) = bi for all i, we can compute the value of P(E1)? This is answered in the affirmative, in some complicated cases where we have to compute some tricky infinite sequences.

The philosophical point is that this is meant to be a defence of infinitism, a la Peter Klein. The idea, if I’ve understood it, is that we can (contra Klein’s critics) say that we can deduce unconditional probabilities from an infinite string of conditional probabiilties. So probabilities don’t have to be ‘grounded’ in unconditional probabilities, as Klein suggests.

But there’s a much simpler way to prove the formal point. If a1 = b1 = x, the Pr(E1) = x, whatever the other values are. Here is a way to get from conditional probabilities to unconditional probabilities. And we don’t even need an infinite chain. So I don’t see how this is meant to give any support to infinitism. Maybe I’m just missing something here. At the very least, I’m certainly missing how these computations of particular probabilities support the idea that infinite chains can justify old-fashioned, non-probabilistic, belief.

Tuesday Morning Links

The first two are things I possibly should have added to the link to Robbie’s post below.

* Aidan McGlynn’s “philosophy job market and publishing advice”:http://aidan.mcglynn.googlepages.com/adviceforwannabephilosophers
* Jon Cogburn’s “Guide to philosophy hiring”:http://drjon.typepad.com/jon_cogburns_blog/2007/09/explanation-of-.html
* Vote on “What to do with Barry Bonds’ home run ball”:http://www.vote756.com/marcecko/
* “National Journal Political Stock Exchange”:http://njpse.nationaljournal.com/
* When I look at a map of New York, the first thing I think is “Why aren’t there more water parks?” Someone was doing something about this, but now it looks like “it might not work”:http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/18/nyregion/18mbrfs-PARK.html?_r=1&ref=nyregion&oref=slogin.

Who Knew?

From the “NYT”:http://www.nytimes.com/2007/09/18/science/18mora.html?8dpc.

bq. Where do moral rules come from? From reason, some philosophers say. From God, say believers. Seldom considered is a source now being advocated by some biologists, that of evolution.

Someone should tell “Brian Skyrms”:http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/search-handle-url/102-1247012-9760127?%5Fencoding=UTF8&search-type=ss&index=books&field-author=Brian%20Skyrms. I bet he’d have something interesting to say about this newly considered source.

Not Quite so Rigid

According to CNN, the official kilogram “is lighter than it used to be”:http://www.cnn.com/2007/TECH/science/09/12/shrinking.kilogram.ap/index.html. The consequences for semantic theory are not remarked upon in the article.

Thursday Links

Quick hits while feeling happy that iTunes has finally added album rating.

* “Harry Brighouse on nightclub bouncers and philosophy admissions committees”:http://crookedtimber.org/2007/09/06/sally-haslanger-on-women-in-philosophy/.
* “Robbie Williams on sleeping around Dutch bookies”:http://theoriesnthings.blogspot.com/2007/09/sleeping-bookie.html.
* “David Chalmers on expressivism and representationalism”:http://fragments.consc.net/djc/2007/09/expressivism-pr.html.
* In the middle of “a post on Larry Craig”:http://www.prospect.org/csnc/blogs/tapped_archive?month=09&year=2007&base_name=post_4787, Mark Schmidt interestingly says “[I]n my world, if something’s none of my business, it’s o.k. for you to lie about it, in order to protect your privacy.” That would allow a much broader sphere of permissible lying than many philosophers would (I think) allow. Still, it sounds like a pretty plausible principle to me. Maybe this is widely accepted in the lying literature, and I’m just revealing my ignorance here.

Another Link

To the “philosophy bites blog”:http://nigelwarburton.typepad.com/philosophy_bites/, which is mostly a collection of podcast interviews with (mostly) British philosophers. I haven’t listened to any of them, but hopefully will soon. It’s a great idea, and apparently is doing well on the iTunes PodCast charts.

I keep meaning to try out podcasting, but first I guess I better figure out how to record things, and how to speak in a radio voice.

Women in Philosophy and Journals

Five more quick thoughts on “Sally Haslanger’s important paper”:http://www.mit.edu/~shaslang/papers/HaslangerCICP.pdf.

# It really is important to get some data on what is happening at the undergraduate level. In my experience, lower level undergraduate courses are whiter and maler than the student body, and upper level undergrad classes are demographically much more similar to the demographics of the philosophy faculty than they are to the undergraduate community as a whole. I suspect that if we fixed this problem, and had more non-(white males) majoring in philosophy and going on to grad school, a lot of other problems would look a lot more tractable. Compiling this data will cost money, but I think it is a worthwhile expense.
# I think people who have never been in such a position can very often underestimate how disconcerting it can be to be the only member of a demographically marked group. When I first moved to America I naturally gravitated to other foreigners, because I never felt comfortable being the only foreigner. This gradually passed; it is a lot easier to become one of the locals than one of the boys, especially if you speak the same language. But it’s a real issue. This is one of (many) reasons why I think demographic diversity is more important in hiring than diversity of research focus. A more diverse faculty (and graduate program) will simply do better work. (See the previous point for another reason for favouring demographic diversity.)
# The data that Haslanger presents about journal publications is, as she is careful to note, hard to make much of unless matched with data about submission rates. Quickly eyeballing some data, I’d say that the rate at which women submit to Phil Review is roughly similar to the rate that Phil Review publishes papers by women, for example. And we certainly haven’t been flooded with papers on feminism, for instance.
# Haslanger doesn’t quite say that she thinks making refereeing more anonymous will be a solution to the problem, but seems to suggest this. (If I’m misreading what Haslanger is saying, I apologise in advance.) I suspect this isn’t going to be particularly helpful, though I’m far from certain here. First, my rough sense is that non-anonymous publications (Phil Perspectives, Oxford Studies in X) have been publishing more women (though perhaps not more minorities) than the blind review journals. Second, this might be self-serving, but I suspect unconscious discrimination is more of an issue at this time than conscious discrimination. I mean, I can’t imagine thinking “I’m not going to publish this because it’s by a woman.” But I can imagine thinking “I’m not going to publish this because it doesn’t have features X, Y or Z that I regard as key virtues of a philosophy paper,” where, in practice, virtues X, Y or Z are virtues that are more commonly found in papers written by men than by women. (For a sense of what X, Y and Z might be, see the violence metaphors at the start of Haslanger’s paper.) When I’m evaluating papers as part of applications (for junior faculty positions or grad school) I can adjust for this a little. If nothing else, I can look back at my judgments, note I’ve only been promoting male files, and go looking for the good files from women I must have missed. Blind refereeing makes this impossible. In short, blind refereeing will at best lead us to a kind of equal opportunity; given the possibility/probability of unconscious biases amongst the judges, affirmative action might be the better solution.
# Obviously one of the solutions to the previous problem would be to have more women editing major journals, making hiring decisions, ranking grad school applications, running the philosophy major so as to encourage more women to be in philosophy etc. That is, remove the unconscious biases physically! But this can’t really work for an obvious reason – there aren’t enough women to do all these jobs because the profession hasn’t been doing enough work at recruiting and retaining women. In practice, a lot of the work at trying to make the profession more diverse has fallen on a few shoulders. Unless we can clone people like Sally Haslanger (and my colleague-to-be Howard McGary) who put in superhuman amounts of service to the profession, we will need to rely on institutional measures like affirmative action. Having said that, it would be good to have more women editing leading journals. One nice effect of Cornell doing reasonably well in terms of hiring women in the last couple of years is that eventually the editorship of the Review should be more balanced, and hopefully the same thing can happen at other top journals.

Some Links

Hopefully I’ll write some more about these in a bit.

* Sally Haslanger has posted her “paper on women and minorities in philosophy”:http://www.mit.edu/~shaslang/papers/HaslangerCICP.pdf. There is a lot to cover here, and hopefully it will spark a big discussion. (Including here when I have something coherent to say.) Via “Brian Leiter”:http://leiterreports.typepad.com.

* Also via Leiter, “Tim Crane”:http://web.mac.com/cranetim/iWeb/Tim%27s%20website/IP%20Blog/IP%20Blog.html has a blog.

* Chris Hill and Joshua Schecter have “a paper responding to Hawthorne on lotteries”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/faculty/schechter/papers/Lottery.pdf.

* Bonnie Kent pointed me to “this UCI website”:http://www.eod.uci.edu/availstats.html which records a whole bunch of stats about diversity in the profession. Here are just four tables that should be of some interest, and again hopefully something that I’ll comment on more down the track.

*Tenured Faculty in Humanities Disciplines, 6-20 years out of grad school*

Code Study Black Asian Hispanic American
Indian
Minority White
/Other
Female Male
054770 American Studies 9% 3% 2% 1% 16% 84% 57% 43%
054773 Archeology 1% 2% 2% 1% 6% 94% 53% 47%
054785 Philosophy 2% 3% 3% 1% 8% 92% 26% 74%
054790 Religion 4% 4% 2% 0% 10% 90% 24% 76%
054798 Humanities, General 5% 2% 3% 1% 11% 89% 54% 46%
054799 Humanities, Other 8% 4% 3% 0% 16% 84% 57% 43%

*Tenured Faculty in Mathematics, 6-20 years out of grad school*

Code Study Black Asian Hispanic American
Indian
Minority White
/Other
Female Male
011420 Applied Mathematics 2% 16% 4% 0% 22% 78% 23% 77%
011425 Algebra 2% 8% 2% 0% 12% 88% 28% 72%
011430 Analysis and Functional Analys 1% 12% 2% 0% 15% 85% 17% 83%
011435 Geometry 1% 12% 3% 0% 16% 84% 21% 79%
011440 Logic 2% 4% 2% 1% 9% 91% 18% 82%
011445 Number Theory 2% 9% 3% 0% 15% 85% 22% 78%
011450 Mathematical Statistics 2% 19% 2% 0% 22% 78% 28% 72%
011455 Topology 0% 8% 3% 0% 11% 89% 23% 77%
011460 Computing Theory and Practice 0% 11% 1% 0% 13% 88% 15% 85%
011465 Operations Research 1% 16% 3% 0% 20% 80% 22% 78%
011498 Mathematics, General 1% 19% 3% 0% 23% 77% 25% 75%
011499 Mathematics, Other 2% 8% 2% 0% 12% 88% 32% 68%
012400 Computer Science 1% 18% 2% 0% 21% 79% 18% 82%
012410 Information Sci. and Systems 4% 13% 3% 0% 20% 80% 34% 66%

*Tenure-track faculty in Humanities*

Code Study Black Asian Hispanic American
Indian
Minority White
/Other
Female Male
054770 American Studies 11% 5% 6% 2% 24% 76% 62% 38%
054773 Archeology 2% 1% 3% 0% 5% 95% 62% 38%
054785 Philosophy 2% 3% 4% 0% 8% 92% 27% 73%
054790 Religion 4% 8% 2% 0% 14% 86% 36% 64%
054798 Humanities, General 7% 2% 1% 1% 11% 89% 45% 55%
054799 Humanities, Other 9% 6% 5% 1% 21% 79% 62% 38%

*Tenure-track faculty in Mathematics*

Code Study Black Asian Hispanic American
Indian
Minority White
/Other
Female Male
011420 Applied Mathematics 6% 12% 5% 0% 23% 77% 27% 73%
011425 Algebra 2% 8% 5% 0% 16% 84% 30% 70%
011430 Analysis and Functional Analys 2% 5% 2% 0% 9% 91% 28% 72%
011435 Geometry 1% 6% 4% 0% 11% 89% 24% 76%
011440 Logic 4% 7% 2% 0% 13% 87% 26% 74%
011445 Number Theory 0% 13% 3% 0% 16% 84% 18% 82%
011450 Mathematical Statistics 2% 14% 3% 1% 19% 81% 36% 64%
011455 Topology 0% 3% 3% 0% 6% 94% 34% 66%
011460 Computing Theory and Practice 0% 22% 0% 0% 22% 78% 11% 89%
011465 Operations Research 4% 13% 0% 2% 19% 81% 31% 69%
011498 Mathematics, General 4% 10% 2% 0% 16% 84% 24% 76%
011499 Mathematics, Other 2% 7% 3% 0% 12% 88% 38% 62%
012400 Computer Science 3% 19% 3% 0% 25% 75% 18% 82%
012410 Information Sci. and Systems 8% 12% 3% 1% 24% 76% 35% 65%

The general trend in most fields, both in humanities and mathematics, is for the % of tenured women to go up over recent years. But philosophy has stagnated. This is not good.