Brad DeLong has been blogging about Newcombs
Problem and the Two-Envelope
Paradox. There really is philosophy in the blogworld 🙂
Sadly by the time I got there I didnt have much to
add. Theres some pretty well-informed back and forth in the Newcomb thread,
but the Two-Envelope thread doesnt really take off. Thats sort of because
Brad said that it isnt a serious puzzle because we know that the person
putting the money in the envelopes has a finite amount of money, and that means
we should sometimes take the facts about whats in our envelope to be evidence
that we got the smaller envelope. Thats all true (and its what Jackson, Oppy
and Smith kinda boringly say about the paradox in Analysis a
whiles back) but it doesnt really get to the heart of the puzzle.
Anyway, go there now, read the threads and leave
more comments. The blogworld is too full of boring discussions about
unimportant things like whether were about to start a war for no apparent
reason, or whether KKK membership will soon become necessary and/or sufficient
for a federal judgeship to pass up the opportunity to talk about philosophy.
UPDATE: For those who dont know what the
Two-Envelope Paradox is, or why it is paradoxical, or what I was talking about
in the middle paragraph above, you might try Dave Chalmers
paper on it. Not that that will help much with interpreting me