*Question One*

A week ago, Suzy uttered “I’m going to meet him today,” in a context where ‘him’ was anaphoric on a previous use of ‘Brian’. When I now report Suzy’s utterance I should say

bq. A week ago, Suzy said that (I/she) was going to meet (him/me) (today/a week ago).

Which of the two options is best, or even acceptable, in each of the three cases?

*Question Two*

Most people agree this sentence is Moore-paradoxical

bq. (1) It will rain but it might not.

Does that mean just that (1) can’t be felicitously uttered, or also that it can’t be reasonably believed?

We might replace the ‘might’ statement with an explicitly probabilistic statement. For example:

bq. (2) It will rain and the probability of rain is 0.7.

Can this be felicitously uttered/reasonably believed/known? Do the answers change depending on which interpretation of probability we take to be salient? Do the answers change if 0.7 is moved upwards, say to 0.98?

None of these questions is meant to be rhetorical. I think there are probably some intuitive disagreements here that it would be worthwhile to make explicit.

(Acknowledgements: The first question came up from some comments by Yael Sharvit – in particular the abstract of a paper she’s presenting at Brown next week. The second came up in conversation with John Mayhood.)