Congratulations to Leeds Metaphysicians

“Ross Cameron”:http://metaphysicalvalues.blogspot.com/2009/03/leeds-metaphysicians-sweep-oxford.html reports,

Some fantastic news for the Leeds metaphysicians: Jason Turner has won the the Younger Scholar Prize in Metaphysics, for his paper ‘Ontological Nihilism‘! This was after a record number of submissions. Well done Jason!

And the joint runners-up are Robbie Williams and Elizabeth Barnes for their paper ‘A Theory of Metaphysical Indeterminacy‘ and me for my ‘Truthmaking for Presentists‘. So a clean sweep for Leeds!

These three papers will all be appearing in a forthcoming volume of Oxford Studies in Metaphysics.

Well done to the Leedsters! And I would be remiss to not note that the winners are all recent graduates of my two employers, Rutgers and St Andrews. So well done to Rutgers and St Andrews as well.

Time to Choose

As “Brian Leiter writes”:http://leiterreports.typepad.com/blog/2009/03/deciding-betwee.html, many students are currently getting offers to PhD and MA programs. Several students will have multiple offers, and will have very important choices to make in the next few weeks. I want to largely echo what Brian says about the dangers of various departments, and just add a few cents worth of comments.

The best advice Brian gives is right at the end. He says, “The way for a prospective student to discover [exceptional departments for graduate study] is to talk to lots of current students.” I agree. The single best thing any student can do between now and when they have to choose a program is to talk as much as they can to current students at the departments they’ve been accepted to. There are really three reasons for this.

One thing is that, as Brian says, there are a lot of factors that make a big difference to how well grad school will go, but which you really can’t tell on paper. The only way to tell how much it improves your education to have philosophers X, Y and Z in the department is to talk to students of X, Y and Z.

Second, departments change a lot, and quickly, in important informal respects. The morale of the department, the levels of infighting, the sense of ownership that students have of the department, can all change on the basis of events that may seem relatively trivial to outsiders. If your professors say “I was at school S six years ago, and it was terrible for these reasons…”, they may well be correct about how things were then, but incorrect about how things are now. Having up-to-date information is vital, and current students are the best source for this.

Finally, no matter where you study, you’ll end up spending a lot of time with other graduate students. You’ll probably end up learning as much from conversations with other graduate students as with the faculty. So you want to get a sense of how much you’ll enjoy, both informally and professionally, having these graduate students as your colleagues for the next several years. You’ll be colleagues with the current first years for four or more years, so get to know them a bit, see how much you want to be their colleagues, and see how much you’ll learn from them.

Once you’ve done this, you’ll be in a much better position to make a decision than anyone who could advise you. That’s because you’ll know more about how the grad programs are actually currently running, and what the grad students who are currently there are like. I think Rutgers will do pretty well by this measure, since the program seems to be running very well, and the students are unbelievable. But I don’t know what the relevant comparisons are like, in particular I have no idea how good students are at all our peer departments, and I suspect there are very few people who do. If you’re a prospective graduate student then at this stage, there’s no substitute for spending as much time as possible at various departments, and especially with current students.

Compass News

The RSS feed for Philosophy Compass, like for most Wiley-Blackwell journals, has changed. The new feed is.

There is also now a pay-per-view option for Philosophy Compass, with most articles being $1.99. More details are available “here”:http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/help?page=HELP_orderingArticles#payPerView. I realise this is not as cheap as open access journals, but I think it is decent by the standards of commercial journals.

I wanted to stress one article from yesterday’s round-up of recent releases, namely Neil Levy and Michael McKenna’s “article on free will”:http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/121635804/abstract. Here is its abstract.

bq. In this article we survey six recent developments in the philosophical literature on free will and moral responsibility: (1) Harry Frankfurt’s argument that moral responsibility does not require the freedom to do otherwise; (2) the heightened focus upon the source of free actions; (3) the debate over whether moral responsibility is an essentially historical concept; (4) recent compatibilist attempts to resurrect the thesis that moral responsibility requires the freedom to do otherwise; (5) the role of the control condition in free will and moral responsibility, and finally (6) the debate centering on luck.

Due largely to editorial blunders on my end, this article took much longer to appear than it should have. Since the main point of Compass is its pace, this was a fairly bad mistake of mine. I trust that the paper will still be of lots of value though to people working in free will and, more importantly, to people who want to know what’s happening on free will. Although it is longer than the typical Compass paper, it is an excellent survey of a big area.

Finally, here are four new papers that have recently gone online, and which will be in the next ‘volume’ of Compass.

Recent Compass Articles

Here are the articles from Volume 4, Issue 1 of Philosophy Compass. The links take you to abstracts of the articles.

Russell … Really?

Brian Leiter is running “a poll”:http://leiterreports.typepad.com/blog/2009/03/lets-settle-this-once-and-for-all-who-really-was-the-greatest-philosopher-of-the-20thcentury.html on who the greatest philosopher of the 20th Century was. It’s an amusing exercise, and somewhat informative, at least insofar as it tells us something about Leiter’s readership, and hence about the profession.

Early in the voting, the leaders were Wittgenstein, Lewis and Russell (in that order), with a second group consisting of Rawls, Heidegger and Quine (in that order).

There are a few surprises. The two big heroes of Scott Soames’s history volumes, Moore and Kripke, are getting a surprisingly small amount of love. But what really throws me in these polls is the level of support for Russell. I’m always struck at the disconnect between how little Russell is cited these days compared to his famous contemporaries, such as Frege, Moore or Wittgenstein.

Now it’s clearly true that Russell’s theory of descriptions is of monumental importance to philosophy. I don’t think it alone is enough to make Russell the greatest philosopher of the 20th Century. I used to argue, for fun, that Grice was the greatest philosopher of the 20th century because his theory of implicature was the greatest advance in 20th century philosophy. I think the premise of that argument is plausible, but it’s a terrible argument – great philosophers have more great works.

And once we go past the theory of descriptions, I don’t think there is a huge amount to back up Russell’s case. Logical atomism is interesting, and in light of the revival of truthmaker theory, important. But I don’t think Russell really gets to the heart of the matter, and in any case I was under the (possibly false) impression that Russell’s contributions here were greatly influenced by Wittgenstein’s pre-Tractarian writings.

I don’t think Russell’s work on sense data, or phenomenalism, are going to weigh heavily on the credit side of the ledger.

Principia Mathematica was a great project, but it does seem to have ended in failure. (Although thinking about how it failed gives one reason to think that Leiter should have included Godel as an option on his list of great philosophers.)

I think Russell’s later epistemology is interesting to work through, but the best parts are somewhat warmed over versions of what Keynes said in his Treatise on Probability.

I don’t think much of the multiple relations theory of judgment, though maybe some do. And I don’t think the ethics and political philosophy is really of much philosophical significance.

Russell’s idea that acquaintance was important to de re thought was obviously a very good idea, and an important one, though he didn’t develop it in particularly compelling ways. (See the earlier discussion of phenomenalism.)

What’s left, it seems to me, is that Russell was very influential in a number of ways. His books about contemporary philosophy (such as Problems of Philosophy) and history of philosophy were great popularisers. (Although you want to be careful with the history.) Russell was obviously important in bringing the work of Frege and Wittgenstein to the attention of English-speaking philosophers, the way that Ayer was important in bringing the work of German-speaking philosophers into the English-speaking world a generation later. And Russell was incredibly important, in the way that a very good Chair, or Dean, is important, in nurturing the careers of some of these people, such as Wittgenstein. But I don’t think that adds up to best-of-century level philosophical greatness.

One other thing is left I suspect. Russell is in many ways the first recognisably contemporary philosopher. His concerns are not always our concerns, but it is easy to see a family resemblance. Much of the way we do philosophy is similar to the way Russell did philosophy; and perhaps it is that way because Russell did it that way. If we read pre-Russellian philosophers, or at least if I read pre-Russellian philosophers, they are distant in a way that Russell, and most people who come after him, are not.

But there’s one other philosopher I can say that about too, namely Moore. And it’s interesting to think why Russell gets so much more love in polls like this than Moore. I didn’t vote for Moore; I voted for Lewis. But I’m interested especially in why so many people rank Russell above Moore.

Like Russell, Moore has a flagship contribution: his work in meta-ethics. Whatever one thinks of the conclusions (and I’m hostile to just about all of them), the development of the open question argument, the naturalistic fallacy, intuitionism as a methodology, and non-naturalism in ethics all seem like a very big deal. And all of them, like Russell’s theory of descriptions, remain important to the present day.

But Moore’s other work has had more lasting importance, I think. Moore’s paradox remains a lively topic, informing debates about language and epistemology to the present day. Moorean responses to scepticism remain a central thread in contemporary epistemology, and, I think, with good reason. Moore’s work on analysis has been useful through the history of debates about analysis, and so on.

None of this makes Moore the best philosopher of the 20th century. None of it adds up, I think, to Lewis’s contributions to language, mind, metaphysics, decision theory, etc. And that’s before we start comparing Moore to Quine, Kripke, Wittgenstein, Davidson, Carnap, Grice, Stalnaker, Fodor, Williamson and so on. But it all adds to my puzzlement as to what it is I’m missing about Russell, who has long struck me as a philosopher who was highly influential, and deservedly so, without having as many of the striking original contributions as I think the really great philosophers have.

’Tensions

Does anyone have the original publication details for David Lewis’s paper “’Tensions”? I know it was published in Semantics and Philosophy, a collection edited by Munitz and Unger. But I don’t know its page numbers.

I’m trying to put together a comprehensive Lewis bibliography for something I’m working on, but I’m a little stuck on this paper.

Defending Causal Decision Theory

Late last year I wrote up a small note replying to Andy Egan’s paper “Some Counterexamples to Causal Decision Theory”:http://sitemaker.umich.edu/egana/files/nocdt.2006.06.28.pdf (PDF). I was hoping to revise it a little and then post it, but I haven’t had the chance to do the revisions (and fill in the references), but it looks interesting enough that it might be worth having up here. Without further ado…

bq. “Defending Causal Decision Theory”:http://brian.weatherson.org/YesCDT.pdf

The core argument is that if Andy is right about what modifications are needed to causal decision theory, then we end up saying bizarre things about cases where there are three choices available. I think it’s less costly to simply keep causal decision theory than to say those bizarre things, though this is a bit of a judgment call.

Diachronic Dutch Books

A diachronic Dutch Book argument uses the fact that if you engage in a certain cognitive process, then there is a series of bets across different times that you will each find acceptable, but whose net consequence is that you lose money in every possibility. For instance, say that your current credence in _p_ is 0.5, but you plan to have your credence in _p_ tomorrow be 0.8. Now consider a bet that pays $1 if _p_, and nothing otherwise, and assume the marginal utility of money is constant enough. You’ll happily sell such a bet for 60 cents today. And you’ll happily buy it back tomorrow for 70 cents. So you’ll have lost 10 cents, whether the bet pays out or not. That’s bad, so you shouldn’t have arbitrary, and planned, credal jumps like that. A generalisation of this argument shows that any planned updating strategy that is not conditionalisation leads to sure losses, and, it is concluded from that, is bad.

But there’s something very odd about the argument here. There’s nothing wrong per se with a trading strategy that leads to a sure nominal loss. If there was, there would be something wrong with ever borrowing money at a positive interest rate. In the example above, you do end up with 10 cents less than you start with. But you also have the use of 60 cents for a day. Now 17% per day is probably a high price to pay for the use of that money. But we think having money to use is worth something. A non-zero liquidity preference is not irrational.

So what, exactly, is worse about the trading strategy the non-conditionaliser uses, and which leads to sure nominal loss than the trading strategy someone uses when they borrow money at a positive interest rate?

Part of the answer has to do with expected inflation, but presumably not all of it. Some people borrow money at what they take to be a positive real interest rate. And that can be, in some circumstances, rational.

Perhaps there is a simple explanation here, but it seems there is a very large argumentative gap in Diachronic Dutch Book arguments that isn’t there in Synchronic Dutch Book arguments.

Philosophers’ Annual

Over at “Certain Doubts”:http://fleetwood.baylor.edu/certain_doubts/?p=916#comments, they have a thread going where people are nominating papers in epistemology for the Philosophers’ Annual. I’m not actually an official nominator for the Annual, but I know some nominators read this site, so I thought we’d have a similar thread here.

What I’m particularly interested in are papers that relate to any of the Arche projects that are currently underway. These are

What do you think are the best papers on any of these topics to have come out in the last 12 months? Bonus points for papers that are on several of these topics. (A great paper on why we need, for methdological reasons, to take people to have non-evidential warrant for accepting the existence of unarticulated constituents would be perfect, especially if it could somehow work in the foundations project.)

Links

  • There are two conferences upcoming in Edinburgh in early July, one on “The Metaphysics of Consciousness”:http://www.philosophy.ed.ac.uk/metaphysicsofconsciousness/index.html and a grad conference on “The Metaphysics of Mind”:http://www.philosophy.ed.ac.uk/events/MetaphysicsPGConf.html. Students who are going to be in eastern Scotland for the “Arche Summer School”:http://www.st-andrews.ac.uk/~arche/events/event?id=181 might be particularly interested in these conferences.
  • There is a new group blog for metaphysics, called “Matters of Substance”:http://substantialmatters.blogspot.com/, that looks worth bookmarking/subscribing to.
  • As you may have noticed, the new “Philosophical Gourmet Report”:http://www.philosophicalgourmet.com/ is out. As usual, I would quibble somewhat with how my department is rated. (We’re only group 3 in philosophy of physics?!) But I think the following is a pretty good guide to how broad Rutgers is. I think people often overlook, for instance, how strong Rutgers is in central areas of history of philosophy.

Rutgers Specialty Rankings
Philosophy of Language: Group 1 (1) (mean of 5.0)
Epistemology: Group 1 (1-2) (mean of 5.0)
Philosophy of Cognitive Science: Group 1 (1) (mean of 4.5)
Philosophy of Mind: Group 1 (1-3) (mean of 4.5)

Metaphysics: Group 2 (2-4) (mean of 4.5)
Early Modern Philosophy: 17th-Century: Group 2 (2-9) (mean of 4.0)
General Philosophy of Science: Group 2 (2-11) (mean of 4.0)
Applied Ethics: Group 2 (3-7) (mean of 4.0)
Philosophy of Art: Group 2 (4-16) (mean of 4.0)

Ethics: Group 3 (6-12) (mean of 4.0)
Decision, Rational Choice & Game Theory: Group 3 (5-9) (mean of 3.5)
Philosophy of Law : Group 3 (6-13) (mean of 3.5)
Philosophy of Physics: Group 3 (6-13) (mean of 3.5)
Philosophy of Social Science: Group 3 (6-13) (mean of 3.5)
Political Philosophy: Group 3 (10-22) (mean of 3.5)

Ancient Philosophy: Group 4 (8-12) (mean of 3.5)
Early Modern Philosophy: 18th-Century: Group 4 (11-33) (mean of 3.0)
Metaethics: Group 4 (16-35) (mean of 3.0)

Philosophical Logic: Group 5 (22-50) (mean of 3.0)