A Puzzle About Explanation

This won’t be at all original, but it’s an interesting issue. And topical now, since it came up over at the “Fake Country”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Blog/Archives/002792.html blog. Often, if not always, the explanation of the truth of one proposition is the truth of another proposition. We’re going to focus on those kinds of explanations here. The first question is

bq. If both p and q explain r, and p entails q, which of p and q is the better explanation? If the answer is “It depends”, say what it depends on and why.

David Lewis, in his paper on explanation in “Philosophical Papers volume 2”:http://www.amazon.com/exec/obidos/ASIN/0195036468/ref=nosim/caoineorg-20 suggests that it’s p. The aim of explanations is to give information about causal history, and p is more informative.

Many others have suggested the answer is q. Frank Jackson and Philip Pettit say this in their original paper on Program Explanations, but there’s plenty of people who agree. (For instance Michael Smith in the paper Jonathan cites, though Jonathan is critical on just this point.) Here’s an example from Putnam that many find persuasive.

bq. _Peg and Hole_
I’m trying to fit a square peg of diameter 5 into a round hole of diameter 4. I fail. (That’s proposition r.) Let p be the complete microphysical description of the setup and my attempt, with conjuncts referring to where the peg hit the edges of the hole and was repelled and so on. Let q be the proposition that I’m trying to fit a square peg into a round hole. I take it that p entails q.

bq. Each of p and q explains r, but q is a better explanation. For one thing it is more illuminating. For another, and this is the point Jackson and Pettit stress, it correctly indicates that the failure is modally resilient in a certain direction. A slightly different attempt, with a slightly different microphysical description p’, would also have failed as long as it was an attempt to fit a square peg into a round hole.

Let’s run with that, and say that our answer to the the original question is q. (Or maybe “it depends” with the answer being q as long as the explanation holds across all nearby q-worlds.) Now the puzzle. Disjunctive explanations are bad. None of the following would be a good explanation.

q1: I was trying to fit a square peg into a round hole or I was prevented by a God from doing what I was trying to do.
q2: I was trying to fit a square peg into a round hole or I was trying to fit a round peg into a square hole.

I think q is clearly a better explanation that q1 or q2. Why should this be? It is certainly less more illuminating, but that’s just restating the puzzle as much as answering it. The fact that I fail is resilient across all nearby q1 and q2 worlds, so resilience can’t be the issue. I know of three answers, though I’m not satisfied with any of them. (Thanks to Jonathan Ichikawa for the small correction in this paragraph.)

“Michael Strevens suggests”:http://www.stanford.edu/~strevens/research/expln/expln101/index.html the answer is that weaker explanations are better than stronger explanations only if they are “cohesive”. The explanation is cohesive only if the same kinds of causal processes lead to r all (nearby) worlds in which the explanans is true. (I’m summarising a lot here – read his paper for more details.) I think cohesion is neither necessary nor sufficient for a weaker explanation to be preferable to a stronger explanation.

The counterexample to sufficiency is q2. The same kinds of processes matter in all the worlds where q2 is true, but that doesn’t make q2 a better explanation than q.

Some counterexamples to necessity are generated by explanations that involve AIDS. I’ll simplify a lot here to make the case easiest. Let’s say the way AIDS works is that it kills off many different parts of the body’s defence mechanisms, so any kind of disease could be deadly. (That’s not really true of actual AIDS, I think.) So there’s very little in common in the causal processes that lead to death in nearby worlds where an AIDS patient dies. There’s a similarity at the start where they acquire the AIDS virus, but that’s it. Still, that the patient had AIDS is often a better explanation of their death than the very detailed account of just how they died, i.e. of which routine illness they weren’t able to fight off.

A second answer is that disjunctive propositions like that are simply not suitable to be explanations. I think that’s the position implicit in Woodward and Hitchcock’s paper in _No{u^}s_ last year, and I think it’s basically on the right track. But we need a substantive theory of why this is true, and such a theory will need some heavy-duty metaphysics, and I’m not really sure how such a theory will be built. (Or defended.)

Is there a third answer, or a way of filling out the second answer so it resolves this problem? I don’t know – that’s why it’s a puzzle!

Papers Blog – April 18

The “papers blog”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Opp/ for today is up, with many many new papers, and (thanks to Dave Chalmers) four new sites to look at.

It won’t make much difference on the surface, but I stole a trick from “King of Fools”:http://king-of-fools.com/archives/000301.php (via “Matt Weiner”:http://mattweiner.net/blog/) to turn the list of pages tracked at the side into a giant blog. This should make it easier to keep it up to date in the future. I’ve used the same trick for the reading and listening lists in the sidebar here, so they might get updated more frequenly too now.

Papers Blog – April 18

The “papers blog”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Opp/ for today is up, with many many new papers, and (thanks to Dave Chalmers) four new sites to look at.

It won’t make much difference on the surface, but I stole a trick from “King of Fools”:http://king-of-fools.com/archives/000301.php (via “Matt Weiner”:http://mattweiner.net/blog/) to turn the list of pages tracked at the side into a giant blog. This should make it easier to keep it up to date in the future. I’ve used the same trick for the reading and listening lists in the sidebar here, so they might get updated more frequenly too now.

Scepticism Paper

I just wrote up a much more chatty version of my scepticism paper, with an idea to deliver it rather than the more careful version I gave at Cornell at the Inland Northwest Conference in a couple of weeks. Here it is in glorious Microsoft Word PDF format.

bq. “Scepticism, Rationalism and Externalism”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/homepages/weatherson/sre8.pdf

Journals Survey

The journal survey is in the book. I’ve put the bulk of the data on the original survey page, but here’s some of the headline data. There were 175 votes – 181 submissions but 6 of these were ‘fill-ins’, people submitting votes for journals I added late or that they missed. Here’s the demographic data on the survey partipants.

Top 10 by average

  1. Philosophical Review
  2. Mind
  3. Noûs
  4. Journal of Philosophy
  5. Ethics
  6. Philosophy and Public Affairs
  7. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research
  8. Journal of Symbolic Logic
  9. Philosophy of Science
  10. Journal of Philosophical Logic

Note that 2 through 4 are basically tied – they differ by 0.01 points.

Top 10 by average (minimum 88 votes)

  1. Philosophical Review
  2. Mind
  3. Noûs
  4. Journal of Philosophy
  5. Ethics
  6. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research
  7. Australasian Journal of Philosophy
  8. Analysis
  9. Philosophical Studies
  10. Philosophical Quarterly

Most votes

  1. Journal of Philosophy
  2. Analysis
  3. Noûs
  4. Mind
  5. Australasian Journal of Philosophy
  6. Philosophical Review
  7. Philosophy and Phenomenological Research
  8. Philosophical Studies
  9. American Philosophical Quarterly
  10. Philosophical Quarterly

The demographic data probably give us a good guide to who’s reading this page, and are also important for interpreting the data.

UPDATE: I’ve posted the raw vote data for anyone who wants to do their own analysis. Note that each column is a vote. For some reason the table looks much better in IE than in Firebird, because of the odd way Firebird treats empty table cells.

Papers Blog – April 16

The “papers blog for today”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Opp/Archives/002803.html is posted with papers on quantum approaches to consciousness, Desargues’ Theorem and, most interestingly, “argument contained ellipsis”:http://www.ling.northwestern.edu/~kennedy/Docs/ace-revisited1.4.pdf.

“Polly Jacobson”:http://www.cog.brown.edu/People/jacobson/ has been doing some interesting work on this phenomenon, and I half-expected her talk at NYU this afternoon might on this topic, which would be been a happy coincidence. But it’s on “Direct Compositionality and Principle B Effects”:http://www.nyu.edu/gsas/dept/lingu/events/colloquium/2004-spring/abstract/jacobson.html, which is also very interesting stuff. I don’t know how common it is for philosophers to turn up to linguistics talks at NYU, but I think this talk should be well worthwhile for anyone working on questions in the more formal parts of philosophy of language.

Journals Survey

If I’ve recovered emotionally from tonight’s game, I’ll write up the results of the “journals survey”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/homepages/weatherson/journals/Journals_Survey.htm tomorrow night. So if you want to have your vote counted, this is your last chance.

On a completely different topic, I was inspired by the “fake country”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Blog/ bloggers to put a counter on the comments screen, and I was interested to see how many hits it gets. Just in 12 hours we had 150 page views of comments threads here. And in that time roughly 3 comments were posted. That’s not a good reader/writer ratio.

Discussion Boards and Spam

A lot of people use fake, or altered, email addresses on comments threads, presumably because they want to avoid being flooded with spam. But it turns out that these are actually not that vulnerable.

Ever since Crooked Timber started I’ve been using my crookedtimber email address as my email address on all comments boards. And as far as I can tell I’ve never got a single piece of spam sent to that address. So just using a real address does not mean you’ll automatically get spammed.

To be sure, I also always leave a website address, usually “Crooked Timber”:http://www.crookedtimber.org, so the email address doesn’t show up on default settings. And maybe if I didn’t do that I’d be getting spam because of it. So all I can say with any confidence is that leaving real email addresses on MT comments boards, plus leaving a web address, doesn’t seem to lead to spam.

Google and Break Ups

I don’t know how long this will last, but check out what’s the current top hit if you search Google for “break up lines”:http://www.google.com/search?q=break+up+lines&sourceid=mozilla-search&start=0&start=0&ie=utf-8&oe=utf-8.

There’s gonna be some really confused web surfers out there when they hit that.

Now for “pick up lines”:http://www.brown.edu/Departments/Philosophy/Blog/Archives/002796.html to rise just as high in Google.